🚨 ГЛОБАЛЬНЫЕ ЦЕЛИ ПО БИТКОИНУ!!!!!

Summary

The video provides a detailed technical analysis of Bitcoin's market trends, focusing on key indicators such as resistance/support levels, behavior analysis, and market sentiment. It covers potential price targets, including $93,500 and $99,000, with expectations of a correction and possible 20% drop due to the strength of the US dollar. The speaker predicts a shift towards altcoins as Bitcoin enters a bearish cycle, advising cautious trading and monitoring key price levels. Personal insights from the speaker’s experience in Amsterdam add a light touch to the analysis, while the main focus remains on market forecasting and strategy.

Takeaways

• 😀 The upper TVD line acts as a key resistance level for Bitcoin, signaling a potential sell-off when the price touches it.
• 📉 Bitcoin's price could target around $93,500 if it continues to rise, with $99,000 being the final target if the bullish trend persists.
• 💡 The STTH behavior analysis highlights the importance of the 'ST Cost Basis' line, where Bitcoin experienced a significant correction in March 2024.
• 💥 Bitcoin is approaching a critical resistance zone near $95,000–$96,000, where increased selling pressure is expected.
• 💰 The MV Price and BS metric indicates that a price rise to 3.2 RP could trigger maximum market euphoria, often followed by a sharp correction.
• 📊 The strength of the dollar (DXY) is predicted to increase, potentially leading to a 20% correction in Bitcoin's price, signaling the end of the bull cycle.
• ⏳ Bitcoin's market behavior suggests a 5-6 week period of volatility, with a possible 20% drop before reaching long-term price targets around $120,000–$130,000.
• 🚀 In the long-term, Bitcoin could reach $180,000–$190,000 in 2025 if the correction occurs later, with more favorable market conditions.
• 💡 A specific trading strategy based on closing prices relative to key lines (yellow and white) is recommended for entering positions during retracements.
• 💻 Altcoins are likely to follow a similar pattern, with buying opportunities emerging as Bitcoin undergoes corrections or a downturn.

Q & A

What is the significance of the TVD Top and Bottom metrics in Bitcoin's analysis?

The TVD Top and Bottom metrics help identify key resistance and support levels for Bitcoin. The upper line is a resistance point where, upon touching it, overbought conditions are signaled, often suggesting a sell. If Bitcoin continues to rise, the next target would be around $93,500. Additionally, stabilizing above a support level (AP2) is a positive sign for Bitcoin, as it could provide support in case of a market correction.

How does the STTH behavior analysis contribute to Bitcoin's market predictions?

The STTH behavior analysis tracks Bitcoin's behavior against the ST cost basis line. A significant event occurred when the price reached this line in March 2024, leading to a prolonged correction. Currently, attention is given to the $95,000 to $96,000 range, where selling pressure is expected to appear, potentially triggering a market downturn.

What role does the TKF law play in Bitcoin's price movement?

The TKF law helps establish support and resistance levels for Bitcoin. It is used to monitor how Bitcoin reacts at certain levels. After numerous rebounds from these levels, the price is expected to head toward a final target of $99,000. This analysis suggests that Bitcoin's movement is influenced by these established levels of support and resistance.

What does the MV Price and BS metric indicate about Bitcoin's market behavior?

The MV Price and BS metric includes two important levels: 2.4 RP and 3.2 RP. The 2.4 RP level has already been reached, and if Bitcoin rises to the 3.2 RP level, it will likely trigger euphoria in the market. This kind of market sentiment often precedes a downturn, signaling potential price corrections.

How does the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) impact Bitcoin's price movement?

An increase in the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) indicates a stronger dollar, which can lead to a minor correction in Bitcoin's price. The DXY target is around the 618 Fibonacci level (108 points). After reaching this level, the analyst predicts a 20% price drop in Bitcoin, marking the end of a larger bullish cycle.

What long-term Bitcoin price movement does the analyst foresee?

The analyst expects Bitcoin's price to drop to around $130,000 to $140,000, following a market correction. Over time, by the end of 2025, Bitcoin could potentially rise to $180,000 to $190,000, assuming the market takes longer to reach this point. The analyst suggests that a more distant time frame increases the likelihood of higher price targets.

What trading strategies are suggested for Bitcoin in the current market?

The analyst recommends waiting for Bitcoin's price action to close above key levels (yellow and white lines). Once these levels are breached, positions should be adjusted accordingly, with buying opportunities arising on price pullbacks. Using tools like 'Safe Trade' can help manage positions effectively.

What is the significance of the 'Safe Trade' tool mentioned in the analysis?

'Safe Trade' is a tool designed to help traders manage their positions in volatile markets. The analyst suggests using this tool in the global settings to track price movements and adjust positions accordingly, particularly when Bitcoin tests key support and resistance levels.

What does the analyst predict about the altcoin market in relation to Bitcoin's movements?

The analyst believes that altcoins will mirror Bitcoin's price movements. When Bitcoin experiences a downturn or corrective phase, altcoins are expected to follow suit. The analyst mentions that altcoins might have a chance to rise when Bitcoin’s price corrects, suggesting a potential shift in focus to altcoins during such periods.

Why does the analyst emphasize caution in the current market?

The analyst advises caution because, despite Bitcoin's positive outlook, a drop below certain key levels (like the yellow and white lines) could trigger a significant market shift. The market is at a critical juncture, and the analyst suggests waiting for clearer signals before making major moves.